arviz

Calculating WAIC for models with multiple likelihood functions with pymc3

对着背影说爱祢 提交于 2021-01-29 11:45:01
问题 I try to predict the outcome of soccer games based on the number of goals scored and I use the following model: with pm.Model() as model: # global model parameters h = pm.Normal('h', mu = mu, tau = tau) sd_a = pm.Gamma('sd_a', .1, .1) sd_d = pm.Gamma('sd_d', .1, .1) alpha = pm.Normal('alpha', mu=mu, tau = tau) # team-specific model parameters a_s = pm.Normal("a_s", mu=0, sd=sd_a, shape=n) d_s = pm.Normal("d_s", mu=0, sd=sd_d, shape=n) atts = pm.Deterministic('atts', a_s - tt.mean(a_s)) defs =

arviz.plot_ppc: “posterior predictive mean”

两盒软妹~` 提交于 2021-01-28 19:13:27
问题 Hello! After running a model for a simple linear regression model in pymc3, I'm trying to do a plot. As you can see both plots show the "posterior predictive mean score", but I was wondering whether can I plot this distribution around the "posterior predictive mean score" (not around "observed score"), in arviz, similar to what is shown in the first figure? Both figures were made using the same data: Score <- c(78.93,58.2,67.47,37.47,45.65,32.92,29.97) Drugs <- c(1.17,2.97,3.26,4.69,5.83,6,6

colaboratory will not acknowledge arviz after installation and import

馋奶兔 提交于 2020-05-15 02:05:34
问题 In Google's colaboratory, installed arviz then did import arviz without error, but in a code cell, pm.plot_posterior(samples) gets error: arviz not installed. Trying to plot Bayesian code pm.plot_posterior(samples) I expect a plot 回答1: Install Arviz prior to importing PyMC3 , otherwise it apparently cannot find it. In your case, simply restarting the runtime ( Runtime > Restart runtime... ) should get it working. 回答2: Hi did you try adding the cell magic %matplotlib inline ? This may be an

colaboratory will not acknowledge arviz after installation and import

故事扮演 提交于 2020-05-15 02:04:44
问题 In Google's colaboratory, installed arviz then did import arviz without error, but in a code cell, pm.plot_posterior(samples) gets error: arviz not installed. Trying to plot Bayesian code pm.plot_posterior(samples) I expect a plot 回答1: Install Arviz prior to importing PyMC3 , otherwise it apparently cannot find it. In your case, simply restarting the runtime ( Runtime > Restart runtime... ) should get it working. 回答2: Hi did you try adding the cell magic %matplotlib inline ? This may be an