Curve Fitting to a time series in the format 'datetime'?

Question

Here is my problem: polyfit does not take datetime values, so that I converted datetime with mktime producing the polynomial fit works

Answer 1

Instead of plotting datenums, use the associated datetimes.

---

import numpy as np
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import matplotlib.dates as mdates
import datetime as DT
import time

dates = [DT.datetime(1978, 7, 7),
     DT.datetime(1980, 9, 26),
     DT.datetime(1983, 8, 1),
     DT.datetime(1985, 8, 8)]

y = [0.00134328779552718,
     0.00155187668863844,
     0.0039431374327427,
     0.00780037563783297]


yerr = [0.0000137547160254577,
        0.0000225670232594083,
        0.000105623642510075,
        0.00011343121508]

x = mdates.date2num(dates)

z4 = np.polyfit(x, y, 3)
p4 = np.poly1d(z4)

fig, cx = plt.subplots()

xx = np.linspace(x.min(), x.max(), 100)
dd = mdates.num2date(xx)

cx.plot(dd, p4(xx), '-g')
cx.plot(dates, y, '+', color='b', label='blub')
cx.errorbar(dates, y,
             yerr,
             marker='.',
             color='k',
             ecolor='b',
             markerfacecolor='b',
             label="series 1",
             capsize=0,
             linestyle='')

cx.grid()
cx.set_ylim(0, 0.03)
plt.show()

yields

Note in your code, x represented a list of datetimes, and d represented numbers. I've decided to reverse that: I use dates for a list of datetimes, and x to represent numbers.